Continued rapid development momentum in 2022

Combined with the employment population and social fixed asset investment in the four sectors of agriculture, industry, agro-processing industry and service industry in the past 10 years from 2011 to 2020, a forecast model was established based on the latest issue of the input-output table of China's 135 sectors. Different simulation schemes are determined and the report results are simply averaged, and the development trend of my country's agriculture and rural areas in 2022 is judged as follows.

The economy is expected to continue to grow. In 2021, my country will actively respond to the impact of the epidemic, and GDP growth will exceed the level before the epidemic, moving from recovery to high-quality growth. It is estimated that in 2022, when the economic growth rate exceeds 5.0%, the contribution of the primary, secondary and tertiary industries to GDP can reach 0.4%, 1.9% and 2.8% respectively.

The growth rate of agricultural added value is expected to be 5.67%, maintaining a fast and stable growth rate. The proportion of agricultural added value has increased and may reach about 8%. The added value of processing industries using major agricultural products as raw materials (grain milled products, processed feed products, processed vegetable oil products, sugar materials and sugar products, processed meat products, processed aquatic products, processed vegetables and fruits, dairy products, and tea) will continue to increase. Growth, the growth rate reached about 3.0%, accounting for about 1.6% of GDP.

It is estimated that the trade volume of agricultural products will reach 350 billion US dollars, of which the export value of agricultural products will reach 80.7 billion US dollars, and the trade deficit of agricultural products will reach 188.6 billion US dollars, an increase of nearly 40% year-on-year; %about.

It is estimated that the disposable income of Chinese residents will exceed 40,000 yuan, of which the disposable income of rural residents will exceed 20,300 yuan, a preliminary estimate of an 8% year-on-year increase, 2 percentage points higher than that of urban residents. It is estimated that the per capita consumption expenditure of residents in 2022 will be 24,000 yuan, an increase of 5.3% over 2021; the average consumption expenditure of rural residents is about 15,000 yuan, an increase of 6.8% over 2021 and 2.4 percentage points higher than that of urban residents.